Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Adarve had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Union Adarve win it was 1-0 (5.89%).