Amorebieta
1 - 3
Lugo

Bilbao (29')
Luengo (45'), Larrucea (71'), Pena (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Arregi (2' og.), Angel Carrillo (43'), Moyano (90+5')
Seoane (7'), Angel Carrillo (45'), Cuellar (65'), Ramos (68'), Vieites (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Amorebieta and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Lugo
40.6%	27.31%	32.09%

Both teams to score 49.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88%

56.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81%

77.18%

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88%

27.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49%

62.51%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63%

32.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.12%

68.88%

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 40.6%

Lugo 32.09%

Draw 27.31%

Amorebieta	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.09%