Unionistas will put up a good fight fuelled by the home support, but it might not be enough to make up for the gulf in quality between the two sides.
We expect this to be a close game but Villarreal should edge it in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Unionistas win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.38) 
