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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade de la Route de Lorient
VL

Rennes
2 - 3
Villarreal

Assignon (37'), Blas (79')
Wooh (9'), Bourigeaud (23'), Belocian (33'), Mandanda (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moreno (36' pen.), Akhomach (62'), Parejo (80')
Albiol (18'), Moreno (36'), Parejo (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-1 Villarreal

Rennes have turned on the style in the Europa League this term despite their struggles in domestic football, and the hosts need to repeat that trick once more to secure top spot in Group F. Villarreal were dismantled by Real Sociedad on the weekend during a disastrous end to the first half, and a similar collapse at Roazhon Park will lead to playoff football for the Yellow Submarine in February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawVillarreal
41.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 23.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 35.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.87% (-0.012 -0.01)38.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.86% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)50.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 41.36%
    Villarreal 35.25%
    Draw 23.39%
RennesDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 0-3 Rennes
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Reims
Sunday, November 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, November 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Villarreal 0-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-0 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey


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