After beating Granada at the weekend, Celta will go into the final match of 2023 in high spirits, and with their last two away games finishing all square, we think that the visitors will do enough to hold Villarreal to a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
1.07) 
-1.18) 
