Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de La Juventud
Portoles Irigoyen (69'), Lopez Matellan (81')
Barba Jimenez (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aquino (7')
Corral Herranz (38'), Gonzalez (88')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Xerez and Ceuta.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Xerez win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Xerez win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Xerez | Draw | Ceuta |
48.35% ( -0.1) | 28.42% ( 0.35) | 23.23% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.96% ( -1.05) |
| 36.04% ( -1.22) | 63.96% ( 1.22) |
| 16.85% ( -0.88) | 83.15% ( 0.88) |
| 73.24% ( -0.62) | 26.76% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.82) | 62.04% ( 0.82) |
| 55.92% ( -0.96) | 44.08% ( 0.96) |
