Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Ceuta	Draw	Elche
12.9% ( -0.3)	19.41% ( -0.68)	67.68% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99% (

2.23)

45.01% (

-2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

2.11)

67.36% (

-2.11)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.45% (

0.93)

45.54% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.63% (

0.72)

81.36% (

-0.72)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.7% (

0.95)

12.3% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.93% (

1.96)

38.07% (

-1.96)

Score Analysis

Ceuta 12.9%

Elche 67.68%

Draw 19.41%

Ceuta	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.9%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.41%	0-2 @ 12.3% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 8.59% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.16% Total : 67.68%