Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 89.58%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 2.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 0-4 (11.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.68%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
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