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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2024 at 10pm UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 0
Ypiranga Erechim

Fernandinho (25'), Julimar (47'), Di Yorio (90+6')
Zapelli (62'), Fernandinho (80'), Rocha (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de Araujo Pereira (14'), Carvalho de Oliveira (15'), Marques (31'), Carius (41'), da Silva Gomes dos Santos (59'), Uchoa (80'), Fonseca Ferreira (88')
Carvalho de Oliveira (0')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim (Athletico Paranaense win 4-2 on aggregate)

Over two months after an embarrassing first-leg defeat, Atletico Paranaense should be a different beast on home soil and desperate to overturn a deficit in order to reach the fourth round. Hardly convincing in the third tier recently, Ypiranga will need a perfect performance combined with plenty of luck to advance on Saturday evening, a mixture that we are struggling to envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ypiranga Erechim had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Ypiranga Erechim win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawYpiranga Erechim
72.69% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01) 17.64% (0.004999999999999 0) 9.67% (0.0039000000000016 0)
Both teams to score 42.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.83%11.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.65% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ypiranga Erechim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (0.013000000000005 0.01)51.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)85.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 72.67%
    Ypiranga Erechim 9.67%
    Draw 17.64%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawYpiranga Erechim
2-0 @ 13.94%
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.66%
5-0 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 72.67%
1-1 @ 8.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 17.64%
0-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 9.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Athletico Paranaense


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