Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bahia |
60.04% ( 1.31) | 21.66% ( -0.69) | 18.31% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( 1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.59% ( 2.06) | 44.41% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( 1.97) | 66.79% ( -1.96) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.62% ( 1.11) | 14.38% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.74% ( 2.11) | 42.26% ( -2.11) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% ( 0.52) | 37.97% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% ( 0.5) | 74.74% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bahia |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.31% |
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