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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
B

Athletico PR
1 - 3
Bahia

Di Yorio (61')
Fernandinho (36'), Heleno (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stum (9'), Teixeira (15'), Luciano (78')
Stum (40'), Victor (79'), Fernandes (79'), Rezende (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Bahia

Athletico Paranaense boast the second-best defensive record in the division and will be confident of keeping Bahia at bay here. We can see the home team emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
60.04% (1.307 1.31) 21.66% (-0.691 -0.69) 18.31% (-0.616 -0.62)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (2.057 2.06)44.41% (-2.055 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (1.965 1.97)66.79% (-1.963 -1.96)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (1.111 1.11)14.38% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (2.113 2.11)42.26% (-2.112 -2.11)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.519 0.52)37.97% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.501 0.5)74.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.02%
    Bahia 18.31%
    Draw 21.66%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.273 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro


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