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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
SP

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Fernandinho (38')
Linck (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferreira (33'), Calleri (60')
Zubeldia (14'), Calleri (66'), Rocha (75'), Rato (86'), Ferreira (87')
Zubeldia (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Sao Paulo

Off the back of winning their last two matches, Sao Paulo will head into Wednesday with confidence as they look to leapfrog the home side in the table. However, Paranaense have been rock-solid at home this season and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
48.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.08% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.72%
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.76% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)36.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)73.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.2%
    Sao Paulo 25.72%
    Draw 26.08%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro


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