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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 23, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Colo-Colo

Campos (7' og.), Suazo (14' og.)
Cittadini (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Valencia (64'), Soto (73')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Colo-Colo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawColo-Colo
52.95%25.39%21.66%
Both teams to score 47.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8%55.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57%76.43%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13%20.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43%53.57%
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4%40.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8%77.2%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.94%
    Colo-Colo 21.66%
    Draw 25.38%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 13.27%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.66%


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