Colo-Colo
2 - 1
Penarol

Suazo (51'), Paredes (62' pen.)
Campos (10'), Manuel Insaurralde (55'), (90+1'), Cortes (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellistri (40')
Gonzalez (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Penarol
43.2%	28.03%	28.77%

Both teams to score 45.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.22%

59.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.93%

80.07%

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56%

27.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07%

62.93%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22%

36.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43%

73.57%

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 43.2%

Penarol 28.77%

Draw 28.02%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.77%