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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
F

Barcelona
1 - 1
Fluminense

Mastriani (73')
Perlaza (33'), Diaz (90+1'), Cortez (90+5'), Riveros (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fred (90+8' pen.)
Martinelli (34'), Nene (76'), Andre (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawFluminense
49.14%21.74%29.12%
Both teams to score 66.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.37%32.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71%54.29%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2%13.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88%41.12%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.11%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 49.14%
    Fluminense 29.12%
    Draw 21.74%
Barcelona SCDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 6.16%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 6%
3-2 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 6.77%
0-0 @ 3.11%
3-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-1 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.12%

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