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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 13, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
BS

Fluminense
2 - 2
Barcelona

Teixeira (26'), Fred (90+5' pen.)
Nene (81'), Nino (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Preciado (69'), Cortez (88' pen.)
Andres Molina Torres (5'), Martinez (55'), Garces (90+4')
Martinez (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawBarcelona SC
56.19%24.16%19.66%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22%52.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59%74.41%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35%18.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03%49.97%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66%41.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15%77.85%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 56.18%
    Barcelona SC 19.66%
    Draw 24.15%
FluminenseDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 5.38%
4-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.66%

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