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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
S

Barcelona
3 - 1
Santos

Diaz (15', 54'), Montano (77')
Castillo (32'), Carcelen (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jorge (45+2')
Fernandes (55'), Jorge (80'), Lourenco (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawSantos
45.77%23.57%30.65%
Both teams to score 60.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35%40.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97%63.03%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06%48.94%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 45.77%
    Santos 30.65%
    Draw 23.57%
Barcelona SCDrawSantos
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 45.77%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-1 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.65%

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