Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.