Fluminense
1 - 0
Cerro Porteno

(Fluminense win 3-0 on aggregate)

Fred (24' pen.)
Henrique (26'), Xavier (63'), Teixeira (68'), Ganso (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Espinola (17'), Aquino (26'), Patino (56'), Villasanti (77'), Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Cerro Porteno
55.83%	23.98%	20.19%

Both teams to score 49.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54%

51.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73%

73.27%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71%

18.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65%

49.35%

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60%

40%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.35%

76.65%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 55.82%

Cerro Porteno 20.19%

Draw 23.97%

Fluminense	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.19%