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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
4 - 0
The Strongest

Garces (46'), Pineida (67'), Martinez (73'), Valverde (86' og.)
Pinatares (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaca (31'), Torres (41'), Cardozo (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawThe Strongest
49.77%22.66%27.57%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76%38.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48%60.52%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37%15.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36%44.64%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45%61.55%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 49.77%
    The Strongest 27.57%
    Draw 22.65%
Barcelona SCDrawThe Strongest
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-1 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 1%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.57%

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