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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
BS

Santos
0 - 2
Barcelona


Soteldo (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garces (53'), Para (69' og.)
Riveros (8'), Martinez (27'), Pineida (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawBarcelona SC
45.09%24.3%30.61%
Both teams to score 58.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95%44.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57%66.43%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31%19.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32%51.68%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26%62.74%
Score Analysis
    Santos 45.09%
    Barcelona SC 30.61%
    Draw 24.29%
SantosDrawBarcelona SC
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.61%

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