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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
0 - 1
Boca Juniors


Wayar (33'), Vaca (60'), Castillo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Villa (7')
Vasquez (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a The Strongest win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawBoca Juniors
24.4%26.61%48.98%
Both teams to score 46.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17%75.83%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 24.41%
    Boca Juniors 48.98%
    Draw 26.6%
The StrongestDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.41%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 13.3%
0-2 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-3 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.98%

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