Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.