Penarol
2 - 0
Cerro Largo

Terans (42' pen.), Britos (84')
Piquerez (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magallanes (10'), Sosa (48'), Magallanes (54'), Heredia (55'), Aguerre (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
53.88%	26.06%	20.06%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88%

59.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44%

79.56%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92%

22.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57%

55.43%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.42%

44.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4%

80.59%

Score Analysis

Penarol 53.87%

Cerro Largo 20.06%

Draw 26.05%

Penarol	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 14.86% 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 4.57% 4-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.87%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.06%