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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 31, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
MW

Penarol
0 - 2
Wanderers


Vadocz (17'), Abascal (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pastorini (53'), Barboza (72')
Torres (33'), Veglio (43'), Izquierdo (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawMontevideo Wanderers
50.66%26.63%22.71%
Both teams to score 44.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78%57.22%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48%41.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98%78.02%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 50.66%
    Montevideo Wanderers 22.71%
    Draw 26.63%
PenarolDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.09%
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.66%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.16%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 22.71%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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