Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Lara win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Santos had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Lara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.