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Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Feb 26, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Pituacu
S

Bahia
2 - 0
Santos

Rossi (15'), Alesson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawSantos
40.76%27.05%32.19%
Both teams to score 50.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91%55.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65%76.35%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23%61.77%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.2%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 40.76%
    Santos 32.19%
    Draw 27.04%
BahiaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.19%

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