Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
