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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)

Fluminense
1 - 1
River Plate

Montiel (13' pen.), Fred (66')
Yago (65'), Fred (81'), Martinelli (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawRiver Plate
33.07%27.71%39.22%
Both teams to score 48.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57%57.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76%78.23%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63%32.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12%68.88%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7%64.3%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 33.06%
    River Plate 39.22%
    Draw 27.71%
FluminenseDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 39.22%

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