Fluminense
1 - 1
River Plate

Montiel (13' pen.), Fred (66')
Yago (65'), Fred (81'), Martinelli (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	River Plate
33.07%	27.71%	39.22%

Both teams to score 48.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57%

57.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76%

78.23%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63%

32.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.12%

68.88%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48%

28.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7%

64.3%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 33.06%

River Plate 39.22%

Draw 27.71%

Fluminense	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.06%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.22%