Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
