Boca Juniors
1 - 1
River Plate

Villa (41' pen.)
Zambrano (16'), Medina (65'), Villa (73'), Varela (87')
Zambrano (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Palavecino (67')
Casco (73')
Casco (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	River Plate
27.01%	24.48%	48.51%

Both teams to score 55.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01%

46.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77%

69.24%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65%

31.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28%

67.72%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57%

19.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73%

51.27%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 27.01%

River Plate 48.51%

Draw 24.47%

Boca Juniors	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.01%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-3 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.51%