Nacional
0 - 0
Independiente

Nacional win 4-2 on penalties

Trezza (85')

FT
(aet)

Ortiz (45'), Ramirez (79'), Faravelli (90+1')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Nacional and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%).

Result
Nacional	Draw	Independiente del Valle
43.8%	25.51%	30.68%

Both teams to score 54.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64%

49.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59%

71.4%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53%

22.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98%

56.02%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09%

29.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34%

66%

Score Analysis

Nacional 43.8%

Independiente del Valle 30.68%

Draw 25.51%

Nacional	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.68%