Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.