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Copa Libertadores | First Round
Feb 24, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool
2 - 1
U. Catolica

Davila (68'), Correa (90+2')
Almeida (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manuel Tevez (27')
Anangono (21'), Mosquera (55'), Martinez (60'), Alzugaray (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Liverpool and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawUniversidad Catolica
31.88%25.69%42.43%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.18%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 31.88%
    Universidad Catolica 42.43%
    Draw 25.68%
LiverpoolDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 7.5%
2-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.43%

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