Liverpool
2 - 1
U. Catolica

Davila (68'), Correa (90+2')
Almeida (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Manuel Tevez (27')
Anangono (21'), Mosquera (55'), Martinez (60'), Alzugaray (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Liverpool and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Universidad Catolica
31.88%	25.69%	42.43%

Both teams to score 54.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76%

29.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81%

65.19%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74%

23.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.82%

57.18%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 31.88%

Universidad Catolica 42.43%

Draw 25.68%

Liverpool	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.88%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.43%