Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
