Liverpool
3 - 2
Cerro Largo

Ocampo (47'), Ignacio Ramirez (55'), Candido (72')
Candido (79')
Almeida (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cayetano (18'), Dorrego (76' pen.)
Aguerre (21'), Rodriguez (28'), Dorrego (44'), Cayetano (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Cerro Largo
39.47%	26.46%	34.07%

Both teams to score 52.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65%

52.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96%

74.04%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01%

25.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98%

61.02%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91%

65.09%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 39.47%

Cerro Largo 34.07%

Draw 26.46%

Liverpool	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.47%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.07%