Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.