Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blanco (2')
Torrico (24'), Robles (36'), Blanco (72'),
Serginho (90+3')
Robles (67'), Blanco (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Melgar and Aurora.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Melgar | Draw | Aurora |
70.93% ( -0.01) | 17.99% ( 0.01) | 11.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( -0.06) |
| 56.68% ( -0.08) | 43.31% ( 0.07) |
| 34.29% ( -0.07) | 65.71% ( 0.07) |
| 89.06% ( -0.02) | 10.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.05) | 35.14% ( 0.05) |
| 52.43% ( -0.06) | 47.57% ( 0.06) |
