Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Melgar and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Melgar | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
53.4% ( 0.08) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 20.4% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.3% ( -0.08) |
| 40.78% ( -0.05) | 59.21% ( 0.05) |
| 20.36% ( -0.04) | 79.63% ( 0.04) |
| 77.67% ( 0.01) | 22.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.02) |
| 55.75% ( -0.11) | 44.25% ( 0.11) |
