Nacional
1 - 2
Racing

Soto (53' og.)
Ocampo (8'), Laborda (31'), Bergessio (70'), Rodriguez (74'), Rochet Alvarez (75'), Yacob (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reniero (17'), Fertoli (77')
Nahuel Banega (56'), Reniero (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Racing Club
21.45%	25.47%	53.08%

Both teams to score 46.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.3%

55.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16%

76.84%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.9%

41.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35%

77.65%

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98%

21.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2%

53.8%

Score Analysis

Nacional 21.45%

Racing Club 53.07%

Draw 25.47%

Nacional	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.45%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.07%