Nacional
2 - 0
Danubio

Dominguez (1' og.), Bergessio (55')
Mendez (26'), Rodriguez (46'), Yacob (90')
Mendez (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ichazo (25'), Mederos (30'), Prieto (40'), Paiva (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Danubio
41.93%	27.41%	30.66%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.08%

56.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.17%

77.83%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22%

26.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94%

62.06%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19%

33.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53%

70.47%

Score Analysis

Nacional 41.92%

Danubio 30.66%

Draw 27.41%

Nacional	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.66%