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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Sep 11, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 1
Nacional

Navarro (90+1')
Gonzalez (25'), Lamas (45+1'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bergessio (62')
Oliveros (36'), Suarez (82'), (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
20.66%24.05%55.28%
Both teams to score 49.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65%39.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95%76.04%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46%49.53%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 20.66%
    Nacional 55.28%
    Draw 24.04%
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.75%
2-1 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.4%
3-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 20.66%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 12.25%
0-2 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 5.46%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-4 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.28%


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