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Thursday, March 28
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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Racing
0 - 1
Nacional


Solari (25'), Mena (48')
Solari (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bergessio (53' pen.)
Yacob (56'), Carballo (70')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Racing Club and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Racing ClubDrawNacional
44.8%27.18%28.03%
Both teams to score 47.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61%25.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8%60.2%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29%72.71%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 44.79%
    Nacional 28.03%
    Draw 27.18%
Racing ClubDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.5%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.79%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.03%


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