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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia
6 - 2
Tachira

Ortiz (24', 82'), Quintana (31'), Gonzalez (56' pen.), Pitta (69'), Varela (71' og.)
Ortiz (39'), Otalvaro (60')
Otalvaro (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Trejo (61'), Angarita (76')
Flores (21'), Covea (28'), Tolisano (57')
Flores (66'), Covea (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawDeportivo Tachira
48.99%23.84%27.18%
Both teams to score 57.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58%66.42%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91%18.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.97%49.02%
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.73%
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 48.99%
    Deportivo Tachira 27.18%
    Draw 23.83%
OlimpiaDrawDeportivo Tachira
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 27.18%

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