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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 6, 2021 at 1am UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
6 - 1
Olimpia

Cuesta (29'), Edenilson (52' pen.), Galhardo (64', 71'), Alberto (77'), Caio (80')
Edenilson (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (86' pen.)
Polenta (18'), Silva (41'), Gonzalez (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawOlimpia
59.72%24.5%15.78%
Both teams to score 40.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91%59.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46%79.54%
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27%51.73%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.13%49.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43%84.57%
Score Analysis
    Internacional 59.71%
    Olimpia 15.78%
    Draw 24.49%
InternacionalDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 15.96%
2-0 @ 12.96%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.88%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.7%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.71%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 15.78%

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