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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón
SP

Racing
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Correa (63')
Antonio Pizzi Torroja (72'), Miranda (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rigoni (44', 57'), Vinicius Oliveira Alencar (48')
Pele (12')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.34%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing ClubDrawSao Paulo
52.07%27.99%19.94%
Both teams to score 38.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.83%65.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.99%84.01%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6%60.4%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68%48.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54%83.46%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 52.07%
    Sao Paulo 19.94%
    Draw 27.99%
Racing ClubDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 16.84%
2-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 3.8%
4-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.38%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 52.07%
0-0 @ 12.34%
1-1 @ 12.25%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.94%

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