Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.61%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.