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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Racing

Bueno (35')
Diego (40'), Arboleda (47'), Perri (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Copetti (45+1')
Mena (14'), Sigali (77'), Correa (89'), Rojas (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.61%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
48.56%30.1%21.33%
Both teams to score 35.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.25%69.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.93%87.07%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.46%49.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.66%84.34%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.56%
    Racing Club 21.33%
    Draw 30.1%
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 17.84%
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 7.65%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.11%
4-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.09%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 48.56%
0-0 @ 14.61%
1-1 @ 12.53%
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 30.1%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.33%

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