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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
0 - 1
Racing


Welington (26'), dos Santos de Freitas (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Novillo (28')
Dominguez (10'), Copetti (85'), Arias (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
47.75%29.46%22.79%
Both teams to score 38.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.79%67.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.59%85.41%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.46%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.54%46.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93%82.08%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 47.74%
    Racing Club 22.79%
    Draw 29.45%
Sao PauloDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 16.63%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.32%
4-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.27%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 47.74%
0-0 @ 13.3%
1-1 @ 12.75%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 29.45%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.79%

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