Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.