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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 1am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Rentistas

Pablo (38'), Reinaldo (90' pen.)
Reinaldo (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Acosta (39'), Duarte (57'), Garcia (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRentistas
56.6%25.4%17.99%
Both teams to score 41.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79%59.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36%79.63%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01%20.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.24%53.76%
Rentistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.94%47.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.47%82.53%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 56.6%
    Rentistas 17.99%
    Draw 25.4%
Sao PauloDrawRentistas
1-0 @ 15.42%
2-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.72%
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.6%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.99%

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