Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Tigre.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Tigre |
24.6% ( -0.03) | 26.67% ( -0.01) | 48.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0) |
| 42.66% ( 0.02) | 57.33% ( -0.02) |
| 21.84% ( 0.02) | 78.16% ( -0.01) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| 61.02% ( -0.02) | 38.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.3% ( -0.02) | 75.7% ( 0.02) |
| 76.4% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( -0.03) |
