SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Tigre |
24.6% ( -0.03) | 26.67% ( -0.01) | 48.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( 0.02) | 57.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.02) | 78.16% ( -0.01) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.02) | 38.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( -0.02) | 75.7% ( 0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.04) | 57.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 13.28% 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.72% |
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