Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Caracas and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Caracas | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
52.31% ( -0.26) | 26.18% ( 0.04) | 21.51% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( 0.16) |
| 41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.14% ( -0.07) |
| 21.2% ( 0.05) | 78.8% ( -0.05) |
| 77.65% ( -0.08) | 22.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.12) | 55.83% ( 0.12) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| 57.55% ( 0.27) | 42.45% ( -0.27) |
