Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Union La Calera.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Petrolera win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Union La Calera |
44.71% ( -0.05) | 27.37% ( 0.02) | 27.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.2% ( -0.04) |
| 42.14% ( -0.05) | 57.87% ( 0.05) |
| 21.42% ( -0.04) | 78.58% ( 0.04) |
| 74.23% ( -0.05) | 25.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.06) | 60.72% ( 0.06) |
| 63.58% ( -0.01) | 36.42% ( 0.01) |
